Saturday, 30 November 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (17, 18, 29, 43, 47) with the draw of 7 June 2017 — its closest relative in 1,007 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 1.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 November 2019): 17 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 176 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.