Wednesday, 5 May 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 25, 28, 46) with the draw of 16 February 2019 — its closest relative in 1,156 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 138 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.