Thursday, 7 March 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 16, 25) with the draw of 22 June 2012 — its closest relative in 1,056 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 March 2013): 21 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 104 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.