Saturday, 5 October 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 33, 38) with the draw of 29 August 2013 — its closest relative in 1,268 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2013): 11, 18 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 148 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.