Monday, 9 June 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 18, 21, 38) with the draw of 20 January 2013 — its closest relative in 1,515 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 June 2014): 5 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 137 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.