Saturday, 23 May 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 6, 8, 34) with the draw of 13 April 2011 — its closest relative in 1,862 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 May 2015): 34 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 90 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.