Wednesday, 24 August 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 15, 32, 34) with the draw of 7 September 2014 — its closest relative in 2,321 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 August 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 15–16. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.