Thursday, 13 October 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (12, 22, 29, 36, 38) with the draw of 1 July 2010 — its closest relative in 2,371 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 13% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2016): 38 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 171 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.