Thursday, 23 May 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 10, 30, 36) with the draw of 6 April 2019 — its closest relative in 3,319 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 May 2019): 30, 35 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 127 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 35–36. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.