Saturday, 15 February 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 15, 20, 26) with the draw of 28 January 2019 — its closest relative in 3,587 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 February 2020): 26 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 126 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.