Friday, 5 June 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 20, 28, 38) with the draw of 22 February 2017 — its closest relative in 3,698 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 June 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 107 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.