Monday, 28 December 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 14, 21, 33) with the draw of 27 December 2016 — its closest relative in 3,904 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2020): 4 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 118 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.