Tuesday, 16 February 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 27, 37) with the draw of 1 October 2019 — its closest relative in 3,954 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 February 2021): 5, 37 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 126 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.