Sunday, 7 January 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (10, 14, 21, 29, 37) with the draw of 27 May 2023 — its closest relative in 5,009 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 January 2024): 36 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 147 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.