Friday, 5 April 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 15, 25) with the draw of 28 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,920 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 April 2024): 12 carried over. Chance says 85% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 73 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 78% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 4 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.