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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Daily Lotto · draw

Monday, 1 February 2021

ResultDaily Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 19

JackpotZAR 418,168

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/36 · since Mar 2019draw 693 of 3,029 under them

← 2021-01-31All recent draws2021-02-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 11 17 1929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd90th
  • low90th
  • widest gap10th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each

384times
486times
1176times
1778times
19

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-01

  • Lines in play≈ 863kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 1.1Mto 229k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • 52 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • 537%ZAR 418.2K
  • 317%ZAR 190.3K
  • 237%ZAR 411.4K
  • 1 other tier8.6%ZAR 96K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 52≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

90times

Every number was expected about that many times after 692 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 17, 19) with the draw of 18 August 2020 — its closest relative in 692 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

54

The numbers add up to 54 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
ZAR 209,084
  • 4353≈ 355 by chanceZAR 272
  • 311,192≈ 11k by chanceZAR 17.00
  • 2102,853≈ 103k by chanceZAR 4.00
  • -114,400—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈863k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 11,192 winners, 5% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    52ZAR 209,084
    4353ZAR 272
    311,192ZAR 17.00
    2102,853ZAR 4.00
    -114,400—