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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 4,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 209 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 208 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 208 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 30, 46) with the draw of 15 January 2011 — its closest relative in 208 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (31 December 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 193 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 61% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 4,594 winners, 2% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 4,000,000 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 265,380 |
| 5 | 69 | ZAR 8,653 |
| 4 + Bonus | 169 | ZAR 1,962 |
| 4 | 3,495 | ZAR 317 |
| 3 + Bonus | 4,594 | ZAR 158 |
| 3 | 62,197 | ZAR 38.00 |