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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 4,472,994
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 266 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 265 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 265 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 30, 32, 48) with the draw of 16 March 2011 — its closest relative in 265 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 July 2012): 7, 30 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 153 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31, 31–32. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 7,083 winners, 12% more than the 6.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | ZAR 4,472,994 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 349,379 |
| 5 | 75 | ZAR 10,481 |
| 4 + Bonus | 212 | ZAR 2,060 |
| 4 | 4,404 | ZAR 332 |
| 3 + Bonus | 7,083 | ZAR 135 |
| 3 | 84,015 | ZAR 37.00 |