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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 4,853,017
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 420 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 419 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 419 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (25, 48, 51) with the draw of 26 February 2020 — its closest relative in 419 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 August 2021): 25 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 163 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 61% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + Bonus — 22,745 winners, 18% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 4,853,017 |
| 5 + Bonus | 2 | ZAR 34,560 |
| 5 | 20 | ZAR 6,010 |
| 4 + Bonus | 77 | ZAR 1,951 |
| 4 | 1,243 | ZAR 203 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,068 | ZAR 106 |
| 3 | 25,741 | ZAR 50.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 22,745 | ZAR 20.00 |
| - | 51,896 | — |