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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 November 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 34
  4. 38
  5. 45
  6. 46
  7. 51

JackpotZAR 33,515,894

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 655 of 2,540 under them

← 2023-11-11All recent draws2023-11-18 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus 1
    1. 4
    2. 7
    3. 10
    4. 26
    5. 44
    6. 47
    7. 46
  • plus 2
    1. 10
    2. 18
    3. 23
    4. 25
    5. 46
    6. 49
    7. 31

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 34 38 45 46 + 5129 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 654 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

1179times
1490times
3467times
3875times
4579times
4688times

Every number was expected about that many times after 654 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 34, 45) with the draw of 10 August 2022 — its closest relative in 654 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 November 2023): 45, 46 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 72% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.7Mto 143k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 20lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 410%ZAR 357.8K
  • 2 + Bonus14%ZAR 530.3K
  • 354%ZAR 2M
  • 4 other tiers21%ZAR 793.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.14 by chanceZAR 33,515,894
  2. 5 + Bonus2≈ 0.85 by chanceZAR 49,183
  3. 535≈ 38 by chanceZAR 4,887
  4. 4 + Bonus86≈ 96 by chanceZAR 2,486
  5. 42,080≈ 2.1k by chanceZAR 172
  6. 3 + Bonus2,385≈ 2.8k by chanceZAR 130
  7. 2 + Bonus26,513≈ 30k by chanceZAR 20.00
  8. 340,199≈ 40k by chanceZAR 50.00
  9. -71,300—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 2,385 winners, 15% fewer than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
60ZAR 33,515,894
5 + Bonus2ZAR 49,183
535ZAR 4,887
4 + Bonus86ZAR 2,486
42,080ZAR 172
3 + Bonus2,385ZAR 130
340,199ZAR 50.00
2 + Bonus26,513ZAR 20.00
-71,300—