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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 3,990,238
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 87 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 86 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 86 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 34, 39) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 April 2016 — its closest relative in 86 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 43% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 142 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 14,947 winners, 20% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 3,990,238 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 118,217 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 22 | ZAR 5,434 |
| 4 | 358 | ZAR 633 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 825 | ZAR 263 |
| 3 | 14,947 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 10,650 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 52,814 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 83,403 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |