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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw · plus

Tuesday, 2 May 2017

plusPowerBall

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 8
  4. 17
  5. 28
  6. 19

JackpotZAR 5,875,827

The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 147 of 1,161 under them

← 2017-04-28All recent draws2017-05-05 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 2
    2. 10
    3. 12
    4. 27
    5. 32
    6. 13

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 8 17 28 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 146 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

320times
417times
811times
1722times
2814times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

1914times

Every number was expected about that many times after 146 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (8, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 January 2017 — its closest relative in 146 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 April 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

60

The numbers add up to 60 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-02

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 7.6Mto 151k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 17lines took a prize
  • 5 + PowerBall1 winnerchance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • 5 + PowerBall77%ZAR 5.9M
  • 1 + PowerBall4.6%ZAR 351.3K
  • 0 + PowerBall4.5%ZAR 346.8K
  • 6 other tiers14%ZAR 1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5 + PowerBall1≈ 0.11 by chanceZAR 5,875,827
  2. 53≈ 2.0 by chanceZAR 77,210
  3. 4 + PowerBall30≈ 21 by chanceZAR 3,904
  4. 4484≈ 401 by chanceZAR 459
  5. 3 + PowerBall908≈ 822 by chanceZAR 234
  6. 2 + PowerBall11,085≈ 10k by chanceZAR 10.00
  7. 319,145≈ 16k by chanceZAR 9.00
  8. 1 + PowerBall50,185≈ 48k by chanceZAR 7.00
  9. 0 + PowerBall69,359≈ 69k by chanceZAR 5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 19,145 winners, 23% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
5 + PowerBall1ZAR 5,875,827
53ZAR 77,210
4 + PowerBall30ZAR 3,904
4484ZAR 459
3 + PowerBall908ZAR 234
319,145ZAR 9.00
2 + PowerBall11,085ZAR 10.00
1 + PowerBall50,185ZAR 7.00
0 + PowerBall69,359ZAR 5.00
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