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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Oz Lotto · draw
ResultOz Lotto
JackpotA$5,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022draw 644 of 697 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.
Oz Lotto was a 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 643 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 643 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 7 numbers (8, 18, 20, 38) with the draw of 31 January 2017 — its closest relative in 643 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 April 2021): 34 carried over. Chance says 72% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 135 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 161. No two numbers side by side. 66% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 72% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_3_b — 207,393 winners, 4% fewer than the 217k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| match_3_b | 207,393 | A$16.00 |
| Match 4 | 122,664 | A$25.00 |
| Match 5 | 5,623 | A$47.00 |
| match_5_b | 651 | A$350 |
| Match 6 | 113 | A$3,915 |
| match_6_b | 4 | A$53,723 |
| Match 7 | 3 | A$5,000,000 |