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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 July 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 31
  6. 33
  7. 6
  8. 10

JackpotA$4,324,574

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 134 of 930 under them

← 2011-07-16All recent draws2011-07-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 22 24 31 33 + 6 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

125times
417times
2218times
2424times
31

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 48Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.4Mto 606k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 80lines took a prize
  • 15 winnerschance said 5.9

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 15≈ 5.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
3320times

Every number was expected about that many times after 133 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 22, 31) with the draw of 14 May 2011 — its closest relative in 133 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$864,915
  • 31,054≈ 1.4k by chanceA$1,200
  • 459,387≈ 66k by chanceA$32.20
  • 261A$9,609
  • 5159,681A$20.10
  • 6385,758A$10.70
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈48M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,054 winners, 24% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    15A$864,915
    261A$9,609
    31,054A$1,200
    459,387A$32.20
    5159,681A$20.10
    6385,758A$10.70