Number 4

In Saturday Lotto under the 6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009 rules — 929 draws, 6 from 1–45.

101times drawn · chance expected 124 −2.21σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 13% for any number

9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

41longest completed wait · 28% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 101 times in 929 draws against 123.9 expected, −2.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 55 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 101 times in 929 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest80 · chance 69.7
2nd smallest20 · chance 28.3
3rd smallest1 · chance 3.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

10 13 16 29 27 32

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-07-04	13	1st	4 8 15 32 43 44
2026-04-04	6	2nd	2 4 5 13 14 37
2026-02-21	21	1st	4 11 26 30 42 43
2025-09-27	4	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-04-02	3	2nd	1 4 6 15 21 27
2022-03-12	19	1st	4 29 35 37 40 41
2021-10-30	25	1st	4 16 26 29 30 32
2021-05-08	2	2nd	2 4 9 26 31 41
2021-04-24	4	2nd	2 4 8 31 32 44
2021-03-27	4	2nd	2 4 12 23 24 35
2021-02-27	2	1st	4 6 24 35 42 45
2021-02-13	4	3rd	1 3 4 22 42 43
2021-01-16	11	1st	4 12 14 17 22 33
2020-10-31	24	1st	4 13 19 26 27 34
2020-05-16	13	1st	4 11 16 17 19 26
2020-02-15	19	2nd	3 4 11 21 24 39
2019-10-05	1	1st	4 12 20 33 34 36
2019-09-28	5	1st	4 11 18 20 22 41
2019-08-24	20	1st	4 9 10 11 32 33
2019-04-06	37	1st	4 8 10 12 38 39
2018-07-21	19	2nd	2 4 14 15 16 24
2018-03-10	6	2nd	2 4 22 31 34 44
2018-01-27	9	2nd	1 4 7 11 32 40
2017-11-25	3	1st	4 6 18 31 36 44
2017-11-04	39	1st	4 7 17 22 26 30
2017-02-04	5	1st	4 16 22 34 36 38
2016-12-31	1	1st	4 11 16 18 31 40
2016-12-24	17	1st	4 5 9 24 34 39
2016-08-27	5	1st	4 5 13 18 25 34
2016-07-23	4	1st	4 7 10 15 22 32
2016-06-25	2	1st	4 7 10 17 28 31
2016-06-11	4	1st	4 10 25 32 39 45
2016-05-14	14	1st	4 10 13 21 33 34
2016-02-06	13	1st	4 26 33 39 40 43
2015-11-07	7	1st	4 6 17 31 38 39
2015-09-19	4	1st	4 5 16 29 32 44
2015-08-22	15	1st	4 13 18 27 30 36
2015-05-09	3	1st	4 13 27 29 31 32
2015-04-18	14	1st	4 14 16 18 26 27
2015-01-10	8	1st	4 19 24 25 27 34
2014-11-15	10	1st	4 9 13 37 42 43
2014-09-06	7	1st	4 10 17 27 34 43
2014-07-19	17	1st	4 8 13 27 28 42
2014-03-22	3	1st	4 12 18 19 29 33
2014-03-01	11	1st	4 13 33 35 39 45
2013-12-14	26	1st	4 9 14 22 42 45
2013-06-15	9	2nd	1 4 15 16 17 21
2013-04-13	2	2nd	2 4 6 9 37 44
2013-03-30	2	1st	4 29 33 40 41 43
2013-03-16	8	1st	4 24 25 29 32 43
2013-01-19	4	1st	4 11 14 16 19 25
2012-12-22	6	2nd	1 4 10 17 29 45
2012-11-10	9	2nd	1 4 25 27 40 41
2012-09-08	2	1st	4 5 7 15 35 38
2012-08-25	11	1st	4 17 21 27 28 30
2012-06-09	6	2nd	1 4 16 26 27 32
2012-04-28	6	1st	4 5 12 23 31 33
2012-03-17	2	1st	4 10 21 30 41 42
2012-03-03	10	1st	4 5 11 12 14 31
2011-12-24	6	2nd	1 4 7 9 12 30
2011-11-12	11	1st	4 5 10 17 22 40
2011-08-27	3	1st	4 8 16 32 33 34
2011-08-06	2	1st	4 6 9 27 39 43
2011-07-23	10	2nd	1 4 22 24 31 33
2011-05-14	5	1st	4 10 18 22 31 45
2011-04-09	4	2nd	3 4 11 13 41 45
2011-03-12	2	1st	4 13 17 21 38 40
2011-02-26	2	2nd	1 4 21 23 24 43
2011-02-12	7	1st	4 9 10 26 38 44
2010-12-25	1	1st	4 11 12 22 29 38
2010-12-18	7	1st	4 13 25 26 42 44
2010-10-30	13	1st	4 6 7 27 31 45
2010-07-31	11	1st	4 14 25 35 41 43
2010-05-15	3	1st	4 6 13 15 18 35
2010-04-24	7	1st	4 5 12 18 20 25
2010-03-06	15	1st	4 18 21 24 28 41
2009-11-21	10	1st	4 16 19 23 28 44
2009-09-12	2	1st	4 21 30 35 42 43
2009-08-29	30	1st	4 23 30 35 36 43
2009-01-31	2	1st	4 5 15 18 30 34
2009-01-17	—	1st	4 9 27 37 42 45