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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 March 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 11
  4. 12
  5. 14
  6. 31
  7. 6
  8. 16

JackpotA$4,266,847

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 166 of 930 under them

← 2012-02-25All recent draws2012-03-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 11 12 14 31 + 6 1629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

422times
525times
1124times
1227times
14

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-03

  • Lines in play≈ 59Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.2Mto 579k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 102lines took a prize
  • 19 winnerschance said 7.3

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 19≈ 7.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
3120times

Every number was expected about that many times after 165 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 11, 12) with the draw of 25 December 2010 — its closest relative in 165 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2012): 12, 14 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

77

The numbers add up to 77 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 11–12. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$474,094
  • 31,526≈ 1.7k by chanceA$819
  • 472,472≈ 81k by chanceA$26.05
  • 297A$5,970
  • 5175,489A$18.05
  • 6329,606A$12.40
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈59M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 72,472 winners, 10% fewer than the 81k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    19A$474,094
    297A$5,970
    31,526A$819
    472,472A$26.05
    5175,489A$18.05
    6329,606A$12.40