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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 April 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 12
  4. 23
  5. 31
  6. 33
  7. 3
  8. 9

JackpotA$4,016,199

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 174 of 930 under them

← 2012-04-21All recent draws2012-05-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 12 23 31 33 + 3 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 April 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

424times
526times
1228times
2322times
31

Prize breakdown · 2012-04-28

  • Lines in play≈ 51Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.4Mto 648k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 78lines took a prize
  • 11 winnerchance said 6.2

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.9M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 11≈ 6.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
3329times

Every number was expected about that many times after 173 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 12, 31) with the draw of 3 March 2012 — its closest relative in 173 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 April 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$4,016,199
  • 31,152≈ 1.5k by chanceA$1,023
  • 462,407≈ 69k by chanceA$28.55
  • 291A$6,000
  • 5172,330A$17.35
  • 6412,489A$9.35
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈51M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,152 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    11A$4,016,199
    291A$6,000
    31,152A$1,023
    462,407A$28.55
    5172,330A$17.35
    6412,489A$9.35