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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 December 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 10
  4. 17
  5. 29
  6. 45
  7. 5
  8. 38

JackpotA$4,267,681

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 208 of 930 under them

← 2012-12-15All recent draws2012-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 10 17 29 45 + 5 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

134times
429times
1027times
1726times
29

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-22

  • Lines in play≈ 54Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.3Mto 510k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 106lines took a prize
  • 111 winnerschance said 6.6

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 111≈ 6.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

28times
4522times

Every number was expected about that many times after 207 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 17, 45) with the draw of 22 September 2012 — its closest relative in 207 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$387,971
  • 31,438≈ 1.6k by chanceA$870
  • 466,323≈ 74k by chanceA$28.50
  • 275A$7,729
  • 5158,020A$20.10
  • 6284,037A$14.40
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 66,323 winners, 10% fewer than the 74k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    111A$387,971
    275A$7,729
    31,438A$870
    466,323A$28.50
    5158,020A$20.10
    6284,037A$14.40