Number 15

In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 111 draws, 6 from 1–49.

10times drawn · chance expected 14 −1.04σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

10.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

26longest completed wait · 30% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 10 times in 111 draws against 13.6 expected, −1.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 10 times in 111 draws · average wait 10.2 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.6
2nd smallest3 · chance 3.8
3rd smallest5 · chance 3.2
4th smallest1 · chance 1.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 7 10 13 25 40

Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-17	4	2nd	7 15 17 23 29 43
2026-10-03	5	4th	5 9 10 15 34 37
2026-09-16	2	3rd	7 13 15 26 37 40
2026-09-09	23	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.