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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Daily Grand under the 5/49 + 1/7 · since Apr 2025 rules — 162 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 14 times in 162 draws against 16.5 expected, −0.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 162 draws · average wait 12.1 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 24 | 3rd | 37162739 |
| 2026-07-27 | 5 | 2nd | 616183242 |
| 2026-07-09 | 1 | 4th | 78141624 |
| 2026-07-06 | 18 | 2nd | 516193140 |
| 2026-05-04 | 3 | 2nd | 116213241 |
| 2026-04-23 | 10 | 1st | 1622282949 |
| 2026-03-19 | 3 | 2nd | 1416293743 |
| 2026-03-09 | 37 | 4th | 813141637 |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | 1st | 1637424546 |
| 2025-09-29 | 7 | 2nd | 1316242938 |
| 2025-09-04 | 16 | 4th | 13121624 |
| 2025-07-10 | 9 | 1st | 1625314247 |
| 2025-06-09 | 16 | 1st | 1618313445 |
| 2025-04-14 | — | 3rd | 115162932 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.