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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Daily Grand under the 5/49 + 1/7 · since Apr 2025 rules — 162 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 12 times in 162 draws against 16.5 expected, −1.18σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 12 times in 162 draws · average wait 13.8 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 17 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 18 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 7 | 2nd | 826333638 |
| 2026-09-17 | 16 | 3rd | 67262845 |
| 2026-07-23 | 18 | 2nd | 826333942 |
| 2026-05-21 | 19 | 4th | 210132646 |
| 2026-03-16 | 9 | 3rd | 1819263043 |
| 2026-02-12 | 8 | 2nd | 1326283441 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2 | 4th | 1115182636 |
| 2026-01-08 | 13 | 4th | 213192636 |
| 2025-11-24 | 12 | 2nd | 826273347 |
| 2025-10-09 | 25 | 3rd | 424264548 |
| 2025-07-14 | 23 | 3rd | 1722263743 |
| 2025-04-24 | — | 4th | 2223242627 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.