Tuesday, 15 April 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (30, 33) with the draw of 9 April 2025 — its closest relative in 201 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 April 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 188 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.