In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 151 draws, 5 from 1–49.
10times drawn · chance expected 15 −1.45σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 90% for any number
16.3average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
74longest completed wait · 0.3% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 10 times in 151 draws against 15.4 expected, −1.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
30
Number 30, draw by draw
Drawn 10 times in 151 draws · average wait 16.3 draws · longest completed wait 74 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.