Number 10

In Poker Lotto under the 5/13 · since Aug 2025 rules — 440 draws, 5 from 1–13.

157times drawn · chance expected 169 −1.20σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

2.7average wait between appearances · chance says 2.6

15longest completed wait · 16% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 157 times in 440 draws against 169.2 expected, −1.20σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 157 times in 440 draws · average wait 2.7 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest14 · chance 2.9
3rd smallest31 · chance 34.3
4th smallest79 · chance 79.9
5th smallest32 · chance 40.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 52.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 3 12 1 8 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 12 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 13. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-21	2	5th	1 5 8 9 10
2026-10-19	2	3rd	1 8 10 12 13
2026-10-17	3	5th	2 5 5 9 10
2026-10-14	4	5th	1 4 7

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/13 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-08-15	2	3rd	4 6 10 11 13
2026-08-13	1	5th	1 2 3 4 10
2026-08-12	1	2nd	2 10 11 12 13
2026-08-11	2	5th	1 1 3 8 10
2026-08-09	1	4th	1 5 8 10 11
2026-08-08	3	4th	2 6 8 10 13
2026-08-05	11	4th	1 4 5 10 12
2026-07-25	6	5th	1 1 4 4 10
2026-07-19	1	3rd	1 6 10 11 12
2026-07-18	1	2nd	2 10 11 12 12
2026-07-17	4	5th	3 5 8 9 10
2026-07-13	1	5th	1 6 8 9 10
2026-07-12	12	4th	1 3 7 10 13
2026-06-30	5	5th	2 4 7 8 10
2026-06-25	6	3rd	1 3 10 11 13
2026-06-19	1	4th	3 3 4 10 11
2026-06-18	3	3rd	3 8 10 12 13
2026-06-15	4	1st	10 11 12 12 12
2026-06-11	6	4th	6 7 8 10 11
2026-06-05	2	4th	2 5 9 10 13
2026-06-03	5	3rd	3 8 10 12 13
2026-05-29	1	4th	1 4 8 10 11
2026-05-28	4	4th	4 6 7 10 13
2026-05-24	3	5th	1 2 4 6 10
2026-05-21	1	4th	2 3 4 10 11
2026-05-20	1	4th	2 3 5 10 12
2026-05-19	0	4th	1 1 5 10
2026-05-19	2	4th	1 1 5 10
2026-05-17	3	3rd	2 3 10 13 13
2026-05-14	2	4th	3 5 6 10 13
2026-05-12	3	4th	2 5 6 10 13
2026-05-09	1	4th	3 4 9 10 13
2026-05-08	1	4th	5 8 9 10 12
2026-05-07	1	4th	3 8 9 10 11
2026-05-06	0	3rd	6 8 10 13
2026-05-06	1	3rd	6 8 10 13
2026-05-05	1	3rd	2 4 10 11 11
2026-05-04	3	2nd	6 10 11 12 13
2026-05-01	1	5th	4 5 7 9 10
2026-04-30	2	4th	3 4 6 10 12
2026-04-28	3	2nd	9 10 11 12 13
2026-04-25	0	3rd	5 9 10 13
2026-04-25	1	3rd	5 9 10 13
2026-04-24	2	4th	3 5 6 10 12
2026-04-22	4	3rd	4 8 10 13 13
2026-04-18	1	4th	3 4 5 10 12
2026-04-17	3	3rd	1 6 10 12 13
2026-04-14	3	3rd	3 9 10 12 13
2026-04-11	3	5th	1 5 6 9 10
2026-04-08	1	4th	1 1 3 10 11
2026-04-07	1	5th	5 6 8 9 10
2026-04-06	1	4th	6 8 9 10 11
2026-04-05	2	4th	4 5 7 10 13
2026-04-03	2	2nd	4 10 11 11 11
2026-04-01	3	4th	3 7 8 10 13
2026-03-29	4	4th	3 7 8 10 13
2026-03-25	4	5th	2 5 6 7 10
2026-03-21	2	4th	1 3 9 10 12
2026-03-19	2	4th	3 7 8 10 11
2026-03-17	2	5th	1 2 4 7 10
2026-03-15	1	4th	2 7 8 10 11
2026-03-14	2	4th	4 4 4 10 12
2026-03-12	1	4th	3 4 7 10 13
2026-03-11	3	4th	4 5 8 10 13
2026-03-08	1	5th	3 3 6 9 10
2026-03-07	0	2nd	5 10 11 13
2026-03-07	1	2nd	5 10 11 13
2026-03-06	2	4th	1 6 9 10 11
2026-03-04	1	3rd	1 5 10 13 13
2026-03-03	3	3rd	6 8 10 12 13
2026-02-28	1	3rd	4 5 10 11 13
2026-02-27	2	5th	1 4 6 8 10
2026-02-25	3	5th	1 4 5 9 10
2026-02-22	1	3rd	1 3 10 12 13
2026-02-21	1	5th	2 2 4 9 10
2026-02-20	6	4th	3 4 9 10 12
2026-02-14	0	4th	3 7 8 10
2026-02-14	2	4th	3 7 8 10
2026-02-12	4	4th	5 5 6 10 11
2026-02-08	4	5th	1 3 4 9 10
2026-02-04	2	4th	2 7 9 10 11
2026-02-02	2	4th	4 5 5 10 13
2026-01-31	3	4th	3 7 8 10 12
2026-01-28	1	4th	5 7 7 10 13
2026-01-27	2	4th	2 4 6 10 11
2026-01-25	5	2nd	3 10 11 12 13
2026-01-20	3	3rd	2 7 10 12 12
2026-01-17	3	4th	3 3 7 10 11
2026-01-14	1	2nd	6 10 11 12 12
2026-01-13	3	4th	3 3 9 10 13
2026-01-10	3	4th	1 6 6 10 12
2026-01-07	1	4th	1 7 7 10 12
2026-01-06	1	4th	2 4 6 10 13
2026-01-05	2	4th	6 7 8 10 11
2026-01-03	7	4th	2 8 9 10 13
2025-12-27	2	4th	1 5 8 10 13
2025-12-25	3	4th	3 6 7 10 11
2025-12-22	1	4th	1 4 9 10 13
2025-12-21	4	4th	6 8 9 10 11
2025-12-17	0	4th	4 5 5 10
2025-12-17	3	4th	4 5 5 10
2025-12-14	15	5th	1 3 5 9 10
2025-11-29	3	4th	3 3 6 10 12
2025-11-26	2	3rd	3 6 10 11 13
2025-11-24	4	4th	1 3 8 10 13
2025-11-20	3	4th	1 3 6 10 12
2025-11-17	8	4th	3 6 7 10 13
2025-11-09	1	4th	1 2 8 10 13
2025-11-08	2	5th	3 7 9 9 10
2025-11-06	11	5th	4 7 8 9 10
2025-10-26	2	4th	1 5 6 10 12
2025-10-24	8	5th	1 3 4 5 10
2025-10-16	1	3rd	3 6 10 12 12
2025-10-15	2	5th	2 5 7 8 10
2025-10-13	4	5th	2 4 8 9 10
2025-10-09	0	2nd	3 10 11 12
2025-10-09	3	2nd	3 10 11 12
2025-10-06	2	5th	1 2 7 9 10
2025-10-04	1	3rd	1 9 10 12 13
2025-10-03	2	5th	2 2 5 7 10
2025-10-01	6	5th	5 7 8 9 10
2025-09-25	3	5th	1 3 8 8 10
2025-09-22	1	4th	2 6 9 10 13
2025-09-21	9	3rd	3 6 10 13 13
2025-09-12	3	5th	2 3 8 8 10
2025-09-09	2	4th	6 7 8 10 12
2025-09-07	0	3rd	2 7 10 11
2025-09-07	3	3rd	2 7 10 11
2025-09-04	0	4th	2 5 6 10
2025-09-04	1	4th	2 5 6 10
2025-09-03	0	3rd	7 8 10 12
2025-09-03	4	3rd	7 8 10 12
2025-08-30	—	4th	2 2 7 10 12