Friday, 3 October 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 4, 11) with the draw of 5 September 2025 — its closest relative in 55 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 96% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 29 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 35. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 10–11. 90% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 3 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.