Number 4

In Lotto Poker under the 5/13 · since Aug 2025 rules — 399 draws, 5 from 1–13.

146times drawn · chance expected 153 −0.77σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

2.7average wait between appearances · chance says 2.6

11longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 146 times in 399 draws against 153.5 expected, −0.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 146 times in 399 draws · average wait 2.7 draws · longest completed wait 11 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest47 · chance 37.2
2nd smallest64 · chance 74.3
3rd smallest33 · chance 31.9
4th smallest2 · chance 2.7
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 48.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 11 9 8 13 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 12 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 13. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-21	2	2nd	1 4 10 13 13
2026-10-14	6	2nd	2 4 6 9 13
2026-09-23	2	3rd	1 3 4 7 13
2026-09-16	3	2nd	1 4 9

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/13 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-06-30	6	2nd	2 4 6 10 12
2026-06-24	4	1st	4 5 5 8 13
2026-06-20	3	2nd	1 4 6 8 13
2026-06-17	1	2nd	3 4 6 11 12
2026-06-16	2	3rd	1 3 4 6 7
2026-06-14	1	3rd	2 3 4 5 10
2026-06-13	0	1st	4 7 10 11
2026-06-13	1	1st	4 7 10 11
2026-06-12	2	2nd	1 4 5 12 13
2026-06-10	5	2nd	1 4 5 6 7
2026-06-05	1	3rd	1 3 4 10 12
2026-06-04	1	1st	4 6 9 9 10
2026-06-03	2	3rd	1 3 4 8 11
2026-06-01	2	2nd	2 4 8 12 13
2026-05-30	3	3rd	3 3 4 6 8
2026-05-27	4	2nd	1 4 6 6 10
2026-05-23	1	3rd	3 3 4 7 11
2026-05-22	2	2nd	2 4 8 9 11
2026-05-20	2	2nd	3 4 5 9 10
2026-05-18	4	2nd	3 4 9 10 13
2026-05-14	5	3rd	2 3 4 7 12
2026-05-09	2	1st	4 7 11 12 13
2026-05-07	2	2nd	3 4 6 7 9
2026-05-05	11	4th	1 2 2 4 11
2026-04-24	9	2nd	1 4 5 11 12
2026-04-15	2	3rd	3 3 4 5 9
2026-04-13	0	1st	4 8 9 13
2026-04-13	3	1st	4 8 9 13
2026-04-10	4	1st	4 5 6 7 8
2026-04-06	1	2nd	1 4 9 9 11
2026-04-05	1	1st	4 6 9 10 11
2026-04-04	3	1st	4 8 8 9 13
2026-04-01	1	2nd	2 4 5 7 10
2026-03-31	5	3rd	1 2 4 5 13
2026-03-26	1	1st	4 5 6 7 10
2026-03-25	2	2nd	3 4 5 7 13
2026-03-23	4	2nd	2 4 8 9 13
2026-03-19	1	2nd	2 4 8 10 11
2026-03-18	2	1st	4 7 8 11 13
2026-03-16	1	3rd	1 3 4 12 13
2026-03-15	1	2nd	1 4 11 11 13
2026-03-14	8	2nd	2 4 10 10 12
2026-03-06	1	2nd	2 4 6 10 13
2026-03-05	0	2nd	3 4 5 13
2026-03-05	1	2nd	3 4 5 13
2026-03-04	2	1st	4 6 8 9 11
2026-03-02	1	2nd	1 4 9 9 12
2026-03-01	4	3rd	3 3 4 6 12
2026-02-25	1	1st	4 5 6 7 8
2026-02-24	0	2nd	3 4 8 13
2026-02-24	7	2nd	3 4 8 13
2026-02-17	4	1st	4 7 9 11 13
2026-02-13	1	2nd	2 4 6 11 12
2026-02-12	5	3rd	1 3 4 6 8
2026-02-07	2	2nd	1 4 6 12 12
2026-02-05	0	2nd	3 4 7 13
2026-02-05	1	2nd	3 4 7 13
2026-02-04	1	1st	4 6 8 11 13
2026-02-03	1	1st	4 7 10 10 13
2026-02-02	0	2nd	3 4 9 10
2026-02-02	1	2nd	3 4 9 10
2026-02-01	1	1st	4 5 10 11 12
2026-01-31	3	1st	4 6 7 10 10
2026-01-28	2	3rd	1 2 4 9 9
2026-01-26	2	1st	4 7 8 11 13
2026-01-24	1	2nd	3 4 9 11 13
2026-01-23	0	3rd	2 3 4 5
2026-01-23	1	3rd	2 3 4 5
2026-01-22	1	1st	4 7 7 8 9
2026-01-21	4	2nd	2 4 5 8 13
2026-01-17	2	1st	4 5 6 7 11
2026-01-15	4	1st	4 5 5 10 11
2026-01-11	3	1st	4 5 5 7 9
2026-01-08	3	1st	4 5 9 10 11
2026-01-05	8	1st	4 5 6 11 13
2025-12-28	2	2nd	2 4 8 9 10
2025-12-26	8	2nd	1 4 8 10 13
2025-12-18	4	2nd	2 4 5 9 10
2025-12-14	8	3rd	2 3 4 9 11
2025-12-06	1	1st	4 5 11 12 13
2025-12-05	1	3rd	2 3 4 8 12
2025-12-04	1	2nd	1 4 7 9 12
2025-12-03	1	1st	4 6 8 10 12
2025-12-02	2	1st	4 9 10 11 12
2025-11-30	2	2nd	2 4 5 7 7
2025-11-28	0	2nd	3 4 6 7
2025-11-28	5	2nd	3 4 6 7
2025-11-23	11	1st	4 5 9 10 11
2025-11-12	5	2nd	3 4 5 8 10
2025-11-07	3	2nd	3 4 6 11 13
2025-11-04	4	3rd	1 3 4 8 9
2025-10-31	2	3rd	3 3 4 5 6
2025-10-29	1	2nd	2 4 6 6 8
2025-10-28	0	3rd	1 3 4 7
2025-10-28	5	3rd	1 3 4 7
2025-10-23	1	1st	4 6 8 9 12
2025-10-22	5	1st	4 5 7 11 12
2025-10-17	3	2nd	1 4 9 10 13
2025-10-14	2	2nd	3 4 8 8 12
2025-10-12	3	2nd	2 4 5 6 10
2025-10-09	2	3rd	2 3 4 9 10
2025-10-07	4	1st	4 6 9 11 12
2025-10-03	8	3rd	1 3 4 10 11
2025-09-25	1	1st	4 5 8 11 12
2025-09-24	6	2nd	1 4 7 12 13
2025-09-18	1	2nd	2 4 9 11 13
2025-09-17	9	2nd	1 4 7 9 12
2025-09-08	2	1st	4 6 8 10 13
2025-09-06	1	1st	4 5 8 9 11
2025-09-05	0	2nd	3 4 9 11
2025-09-05	1	2nd	3 4 9 11
2025-09-04	3	2nd	1 4 8 10 13
2025-09-01	2	4th	1 3 3 4 5
2025-08-30	2	3rd	1 3 4 5 11
2025-08-28	3	2nd	1 4 7 8 11
2025-08-25	2	2nd	3 4 5 7 8
2025-08-23	0	1st	4 6 7 12
2025-08-23	4	1st	4 6 7 12
2025-08-19	1	2nd	3 4 5 10 13
2025-08-18	0	3rd	3 3 4 9
2025-08-18	4	3rd	3 3 4 9
2025-08-14	—	1st	4 7 8 12 13