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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Western 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 148 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 20 times in 148 draws against 18.1 expected, +0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 20 times in 148 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 24 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 11 | 3rd | 202226283132 |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | 4th | 3817264447 |
| 2026-09-02 | 1 | 4th | 4911263945 |
| 2026-08-29 | 13 | 3rd | 2626333449 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2 | 4th | 4914264446 |
| 2026-07-08 | 1 | 3rd | 192426272942 |
| 2026-07-04 | 3 | 3rd | 152326303538 |
| 2026-06-24 | 7 | 5th | 51011132646 |
| 2026-05-30 | 4 | 4th | 3815263845 |
| 2026-05-16 | 8 | 5th | 52021232647 |
| 2026-04-18 | 24 | 1st | 262729324148 |
| 2026-01-24 | 24 | 3rd | 82226384145 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2 | 4th | 235263536 |
| 2025-10-22 | 5 | 3rd | 182026272836 |
| 2025-10-04 | 10 | 3rd | 91126344345 |
| 2025-08-30 | 6 | 3rd | 51126283040 |
| 2025-08-09 | 9 | 2nd | 212629323549 |
| 2025-07-09 | 1 | 4th | 61113264347 |
| 2025-07-05 | 4 | 2nd | 122630353740 |
| 2025-06-21 | — | 4th | 3524263545 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.