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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 12 October 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 30
  2. 39
  3. 40
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 49
  7. 3
  8. 4

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,770 of 4,865 under them

← 2020-10-10All recent draws2020-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed30 39 40 45 46 49 + 3 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd48th
  • low0th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 339 of each

30332times
39329times
40347times
45342times
46

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2Mto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 675%€1.5M
  • 5+C6.4%€127.8K
  • 310%€204.9K
  • 2 other tiers8.2%€165.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

338times
49342times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,769 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (30, 39, 45, 46, 49) with the draw of 10 November 2016 — its closest relative in 2,769 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2020): 30 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

249

The numbers add up to 249 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40, 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 57% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€757,165
  • 5+C2≈ 2.7 by chance€63,907
  • 560≈ 55 by chance€1,065
  • 42,919≈ 3.1k by chance€34.66
  • 351,231≈ 56k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 51,231 winners, 8% fewer than the 56k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€757,165
    5+C2€63,907
    560€1,065
    42,919€34.66
    351,231€4.00
    R0€0.50