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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 13 October 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 26
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 39
  6. 41
  7. 8
  8. 46

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,771 of 4,864 under them

← 2020-10-12All recent draws2020-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 26 33 34 39 41 + 8 4629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 339 of each

21330times
26327times
33350times
34344times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-13

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€634.6Kto 68k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€164.1K
  • 420%€129.9K
  • 341%€258.5K
  • 1 other tier13%€82.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.28 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

330times
41337times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,770 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 26, 34, 39) with the draw of 7 April 2016 — its closest relative in 2,770 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2020): 39 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

194

The numbers add up to 194 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.4 by chance
€164,123
  • 551≈ 70 by chance€1,609
  • 43,297≈ 3.9k by chance€39.41
  • 364,631≈ 70k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,297 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€164,123
    551€1,609
    43,297€39.41
    364,631€4.00
    R0€0.50