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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 12 October 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 16
  3. 24
  4. 28
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 2
  8. 34

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,083 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-10-11All recent draws2021-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 16 24 28 41 48 + 2 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 377 of each

8371times
16373times
24389times
28381times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€473.1Kto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€114.6K
  • 419%€90.7K
  • 345%€210.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€57.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.23 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

375times
48371times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,082 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 28, 41, 48) with the draw of 20 August 2019 — its closest relative in 3,082 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

165

The numbers add up to 165 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 2.8 by chance
€114,565
  • 555≈ 57 by chance€1,042
  • 43,286≈ 3.1k by chance€27.60
  • 352,651≈ 57k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 52,651 winners, 8% fewer than the 57k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€114,565
    555€1,042
    43,286€27.60
    352,651€4.00
    R0€0.50