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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 13 October 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 17
  3. 23
  4. 27
  5. 42
  6. 46
  7. 3
  8. 5

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,084 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-10-12All recent draws2021-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 17 23 27 42 46 + 3 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 378 of each

7348times
17351times
23369times
27388times
42

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-13

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 101k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 641%€534.3K
  • 5+C13%€170.4K
  • 329%€381.1K
  • 2 other tiers17%€220K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.42 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

393times
46376times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,083 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 23, 42, 46) with the draw of 1 February 2020 — its closest relative in 3,083 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€534,250
  • 5+C3≈ 5.0 by chance€56,789
  • 5123≈ 103 by chance€693
  • 45,688≈ 5.7k by chance€23.71
  • 395,281≈ 103k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 95,281 winners, 8% fewer than the 103k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€534,250
    5+C3€56,789
    5123€693
    45,688€23.71
    395,281€4.00
    R0€0.50