LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 October 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 33
  5. 48
  6. 2

Jackpot€7,156,373

The crowdHeld 92% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 94 of 868 under them

← 2011-10-09All recent draws2011-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 17 22 33 48 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread40th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

136times
176times
2210times
3310times
48

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 62Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€7.1Mto 4.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 15lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • 5+03.2%€227.9K
  • 2+012%€821.9K
  • 0+179%€5.6M
  • 5 other tiers6.5%€462.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

27times

Every number was expected about that many times after 93 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 17, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 August 2010 — its closest relative in 93 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 30% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+03≈ 18 by chance€75,968
  • 4+147≈ 482 by chance€882
  • 4+0537≈ 4.3k by chance€90.03
  • 3+11,821≈ 23k by chance€30.34
  • 3+021,076≈ 208k by chance€8.52
  • 2+124,818≈ 362k by chance€5.57
  • 2+0273,957≈ 3.3M by chance€3.00
  • 0+13,749,399≈ 3.7M by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈62M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 24,818 winners, 93% fewer than the 362k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€75,968
    4+147€882
    4+0537€90.03
    3+11,821€30.34
    3+021,076€8.52
    2+124,818€5.57
    2+0273,957€3.00
    0+13,749,399€1.50