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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number

22

Number 22

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 868 draws, 5 from 1–54.

Main numbersStars
83times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.31σ
11draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number
10.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
84longest completed wait · 3% chance of one at least that long
22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 83 times in 868 draws against 80.4 expected, +0.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

22

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 83 times in 868 draws · average wait 10.4 draws · longest completed wait 84 · waiting 11 draws now

1 draws: 2010-01-31 to 2010-02-0712 draws: 2010-02-07 to 2010-05-021 draws: 2010-05-02 to 2010-05-091 draws: 2010-05-09 to 2010-05-1612 draws: 2010-05-16 to 2010-08-082 draws: 2010-08-08 to 2010-08-2215 draws: 2010-08-22 to 2010-12-0525 draws: 2010-12-05 to 2011-05-294 draws: 2011-05-29 to 2011-06-2616 draws: 2011-06-26 to 2011-10-163 draws: 2011-10-16 to 2011-11-0617 draws: 2011-11-06 to 2012-03-048 draws: 2012-03-04 to 2012-04-2911 draws: 2012-04-29 to 2012-07-153 draws: 2012-07-15 to 2012-08-0515 draws: 2012-08-05 to 2012-11-181 draws: 2012-11-18 to 2012-11-2514 draws: 2012-11-25 to 2013-03-033 draws: 2013-03-03 to 2013-03-243 draws: 2013-03-24 to 2013-04-149 draws: 2013-04-14 to 2013-06-1618 draws: 2013-06-16 to 2013-10-2035 draws: 2013-10-20 to 2014-06-221 draws: 2014-06-22 to 2014-06-2920 draws: 2014-06-29 to 2014-11-163 draws: 2014-11-16 to 2014-12-074 draws: 2014-12-07 to 2015-01-042 draws: 2015-01-04 to 2015-01-183 draws: 2015-01-18 to 2015-02-0811 draws: 2015-02-08 to 2015-04-262 draws: 2015-04-26 to 2015-05-1018 draws: 2015-05-10 to 2015-09-1313 draws: 2015-09-13 to 2015-12-135 draws: 2015-12-13 to 2016-01-174 draws: 2016-01-17 to 2016-02-144 draws: 2016-02-14 to 2016-03-137 draws: 2016-03-13 to 2016-05-015 draws: 2016-05-01 to 2016-06-0511 draws: 2016-06-05 to 2016-08-219 draws: 2016-08-21 to 2016-10-234 draws: 2016-10-23 to 2016-11-201 draws: 2016-11-20 to 2016-11-273 draws: 2016-11-27 to 2016-12-188 draws: 2016-12-18 to 2017-02-124 draws: 2017-02-12 to 2017-03-124 draws: 2017-03-12 to 2017-04-098 draws: 2017-04-09 to 2017-06-049 draws: 2017-06-04 to 2017-08-064 draws: 2017-08-06 to 2017-09-039 draws: 2017-09-03 to 2017-11-0522 draws: 2017-11-05 to 2018-04-0813 draws: 2018-04-08 to 2018-07-083 draws: 2018-07-08 to 2018-07-298 draws: 2018-07-29 to 2018-09-2330 draws: 2018-09-23 to 2019-04-219 draws: 2019-04-21 to 2019-06-238 draws: 2019-06-23 to 2019-08-1812 draws: 2019-08-18 to 2019-11-108 draws: 2019-11-10 to 2020-01-054 draws: 2020-01-05 to 2020-02-026 draws: 2020-02-02 to 2020-03-1513 draws: 2020-03-15 to 2020-08-2314 draws: 2020-08-23 to 2020-11-2951 draws: 2020-11-29 to 2021-11-219 draws: 2021-11-21 to 2022-01-233 draws: 2022-01-23 to 2022-02-131 draws: 2022-02-13 to 2022-02-2033 draws: 2022-02-20 to 2022-10-094 draws: 2022-10-09 to 2022-11-061 draws: 2022-11-06 to 2022-11-132 draws: 2022-11-13 to 2022-11-2715 draws: 2022-11-27 to 2023-03-128 draws: 2023-03-12 to 2023-05-079 draws: 2023-05-07 to 2023-07-0984 draws: 2023-07-09 to 2025-02-1634 draws: 2025-02-16 to 2025-10-126 draws: 2025-10-12 to 2025-11-233 draws: 2025-11-23 to 2025-12-143 draws: 2025-12-14 to 2026-01-0411 draws: 2026-01-04 to 2026-03-2218 draws: 2026-03-22 to 2026-07-262 draws: 2026-07-26 to 2026-08-09Still waiting — at least 11 draws since 2026-08-092010-01-312010-02-072010-05-022010-05-092010-05-162010-08-082010-08-222010-12-052011-05-292011-06-262011-10-162011-11-062012-03-042012-04-292012-07-152012-08-052012-11-182012-11-252013-03-032013-03-242013-04-142013-06-162013-10-202014-06-222014-06-292014-11-162014-12-072015-01-042015-01-182015-02-082015-04-262015-05-102015-09-132015-12-132016-01-172016-02-142016-03-132016-05-012016-06-052016-08-212016-10-232016-11-202016-11-272016-12-182017-02-122017-03-122017-04-092017-06-042017-08-062017-09-032017-11-052018-04-082018-07-082018-07-292018-09-232019-04-212019-06-232019-08-182019-11-102020-01-052020-02-022020-03-152020-08-232020-11-292021-11-212022-01-232022-02-132022-02-202022-10-092022-11-062022-11-132022-11-272023-03-122023-05-072023-07-092025-02-162025-10-122025-11-232025-12-142026-01-042026-03-222026-07-262026-08-092010-01-032026-10-25

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 8 times2 draws: 5 times3 draws: 11 times4 draws: 10 times5 draws: 2 times6 draws: 2 times7 draws: 1 time8 draws: 7 times9 draws: 7 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 4 times12 draws: 3 times13 draws: 3 times14 draws: 2 times15 draws: 3 times16 draws: 1 time17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 3 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 1 time31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 1 time34 draws: 1 time35 draws: 1 time36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 0 times45 draws: 0 times46 draws: 0 times47 draws: 0 times48 draws: 0 times49 draws: 0 times50 draws: 0 times51 draws: 1 time52 draws: 0 times53 draws: 0 times54 draws: 0 times55 draws: 0 times56 draws: 0 times57 draws: 0 times58 draws: 0 times59 draws: 0 times60 draws: 0 times61 draws: 0 times62 draws: 0 times63 draws: 0 times64 draws: 0 times65 draws: 0 times66 draws: 0 times67 draws: 0 times68 draws: 0 times69 draws: 0 times70 draws: 0 times71 draws: 0 times72 draws: 0 times73 draws: 0 times74 draws: 0 times75 draws: 0 times76 draws: 0 times77 draws: 0 times78 draws: 0 times79 draws: 0 times80 draws: 0 times81 draws: 0 times82 draws: 0 times83 draws: 0 times84 draws: 1 time85 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest13 · chance 10.2
  • 2nd smallest30 · chance 29.5
  • 3rd smallest28 · chance 29.5
  • 4th smallest10 · chance 12.1
  • 5th smallest2 · chance 1.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

83429523238

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-08-0921st2225283132
2026-07-26182nd822383946
2026-03-22112nd1122284851
2026-01-0433rd78
← number 21Every numbernumber 23 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

22
32
45
2025-12-1433rd1321223252
2025-11-2362nd1022315152
2025-10-12342nd322363950
2025-02-16842nd1022323846
2023-07-0992nd322273050
2023-05-0783rd1619224053
2023-03-12151st2234495054
2022-11-2723rd1315224553
2022-11-1312nd1322414348
2022-11-0641st2223293652
2022-10-09333rd38222645
2022-02-2014th29112243
2022-02-1332nd522344152
2022-01-2392nd922252735
2021-11-21513rd1115224351
2020-11-29143rd16222639
2020-08-23133rd913222951
2020-03-1564th47122242
2020-02-0243rd815223845
2020-01-0581st2225273244
The other 59 appearances
2019-11-10123rd37224549
2019-08-1883rd713222734
2019-06-2393rd819223034
2019-04-21302nd1622384046
2018-09-2382nd122263449
2018-07-2931st2225344348
2018-07-08133rd1119222940
2018-04-08221st2223303133
2017-11-0594th210172239
2017-09-0343rd614224650
2017-08-0693rd413225253
2017-06-0483rd615222954
2017-04-0943rd24223440
2017-03-1242nd822262932
2017-02-1282nd1722293248
2016-12-1832nd2122444654
2016-11-2713rd817223948
2016-11-2042nd1622364151
2016-10-2394th57192229
2016-08-21111st2223333452
2016-06-0553rd38222340
2016-05-0175th1471422
2016-03-1343rd1012222453
2016-02-1443rd1221222539
2016-01-1755th68151922
2015-12-13132nd1822323338
2015-09-13182nd922255354
2015-05-1022nd722232638
2015-04-26113rd1920224250
2015-02-0833rd1415224952
2015-01-1821st2230323442
2015-01-0442nd1022283154
2014-12-0732nd1022384153
2014-11-16201st2240424648
2014-06-2914th58122246
2014-06-22352nd522284151
2013-10-20181st2233343852
2013-06-1691st2237405254
2013-04-1434th416202226
2013-03-2432nd622303151
2013-03-03144th69142239
2012-11-2513rd24222948
2012-11-18152nd1022394953
2012-08-0532nd1622264753
2012-07-15113rd13222734
2012-04-2982nd622232949
2012-03-04172nd1222233344
2011-11-0632nd1522424347
2011-10-16163rd1317223348
2011-06-2644th618202252
2011-05-29252nd1622384449
2010-12-05154th78112252
2010-08-2224th913172236
2010-08-08121st2224252934
2010-05-1613rd411222931
2010-05-0912nd1622303337
2010-05-02123rd48223651
2010-02-0711st2224454751
2010-01-31—2nd1422253135