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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 13 November 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 29
  6. 6

Jackpot€10,077,541

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 98 of 868 under them

← 2011-11-06All recent draws2011-11-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 16 21 29 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread12th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

47times
97times
166times
218times
29

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-13

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€13.1Mto 774k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • 5+183%€10.8M
  • 2+06.0%€787.6K
  • 0+15.3%€691.4K
  • 6 other tiers6.1%€804.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

611times

Every number was expected about that many times after 97 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 16, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 July 2011 — its closest relative in 97 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 31% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,838,965
  • 5+02≈ 2.2 by chance€132,731
  • 4+145≈ 59 by chance€1,073
  • 4+0428≈ 533 by chance€132
  • 3+11,978≈ 2.8k by chance€32.54
  • 3+018,595≈ 26k by chance€11.25
  • 2+129,030≈ 45k by chance€5.54
  • 2+0262,545≈ 401k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1460,961≈ 461k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 29,030 winners, 35% fewer than the 45k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€10,838,965
    5+02€132,731
    4+145€1,073
    4+0428€132
    3+11,978€32.54
    3+018,595€11.25
    2+129,030€5.54
    2+0262,545€3.00
    0+1460,961€1.50