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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number

9

Number 9

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 868 draws, 5 from 1–54.

Main numbersStars
93times drawn · chance expected 80 +1.48σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
39longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 93 times in 868 draws against 80.4 expected, +1.48σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

9

Number 9, draw by draw

Drawn 93 times in 868 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 39 · drawn in the most recent draw

32 draws: 2010-01-10 to 2010-08-226 draws: 2010-08-22 to 2010-10-034 draws: 2010-10-03 to 2010-10-317 draws: 2010-10-31 to 2010-12-1925 draws: 2010-12-19 to 2011-06-124 draws: 2011-06-12 to 2011-07-1018 draws: 2011-07-10 to 2011-11-136 draws: 2011-11-13 to 2011-12-257 draws: 2011-12-25 to 2012-02-1224 draws: 2012-02-12 to 2012-07-298 draws: 2012-07-29 to 2012-09-2312 draws: 2012-09-23 to 2012-12-166 draws: 2012-12-16 to 2013-01-272 draws: 2013-01-27 to 2013-02-101 draws: 2013-02-10 to 2013-02-172 draws: 2013-02-17 to 2013-03-031 draws: 2013-03-03 to 2013-03-1034 draws: 2013-03-10 to 2013-11-033 draws: 2013-11-03 to 2013-11-2414 draws: 2013-11-24 to 2014-03-021 draws: 2014-03-02 to 2014-03-092 draws: 2014-03-09 to 2014-03-234 draws: 2014-03-23 to 2014-04-205 draws: 2014-04-20 to 2014-05-252 draws: 2014-05-25 to 2014-06-087 draws: 2014-06-08 to 2014-07-277 draws: 2014-07-27 to 2014-09-141 draws: 2014-09-14 to 2014-09-2112 draws: 2014-09-21 to 2014-12-1437 draws: 2014-12-14 to 2015-08-302 draws: 2015-08-30 to 2015-09-133 draws: 2015-09-13 to 2015-10-045 draws: 2015-10-04 to 2015-11-0816 draws: 2015-11-08 to 2016-02-287 draws: 2016-02-28 to 2016-04-1716 draws: 2016-04-17 to 2016-08-078 draws: 2016-08-07 to 2016-10-024 draws: 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-308 draws: 2016-10-30 to 2016-12-256 draws: 2016-12-25 to 2017-02-0515 draws: 2017-02-05 to 2017-05-215 draws: 2017-05-21 to 2017-06-251 draws: 2017-06-25 to 2017-07-026 draws: 2017-07-02 to 2017-08-132 draws: 2017-08-13 to 2017-08-272 draws: 2017-08-27 to 2017-09-106 draws: 2017-09-10 to 2017-10-221 draws: 2017-10-22 to 2017-10-293 draws: 2017-10-29 to 2017-11-199 draws: 2017-11-19 to 2018-01-217 draws: 2018-01-21 to 2018-03-112 draws: 2018-03-11 to 2018-03-2536 draws: 2018-03-25 to 2018-12-0216 draws: 2018-12-02 to 2019-03-242 draws: 2019-03-24 to 2019-04-077 draws: 2019-04-07 to 2019-05-263 draws: 2019-05-26 to 2019-06-1613 draws: 2019-06-16 to 2019-09-1511 draws: 2019-09-15 to 2019-12-0124 draws: 2019-12-01 to 2020-07-263 draws: 2020-07-26 to 2020-08-161 draws: 2020-08-16 to 2020-08-231 draws: 2020-08-23 to 2020-08-307 draws: 2020-08-30 to 2020-10-1823 draws: 2020-10-18 to 2021-03-284 draws: 2021-03-28 to 2021-04-2539 draws: 2021-04-25 to 2022-01-234 draws: 2022-01-23 to 2022-02-204 draws: 2022-02-20 to 2022-03-202 draws: 2022-03-20 to 2022-04-0310 draws: 2022-04-03 to 2022-06-1211 draws: 2022-06-12 to 2022-08-2812 draws: 2022-08-28 to 2022-11-2012 draws: 2022-11-20 to 2023-02-125 draws: 2023-02-12 to 2023-03-196 draws: 2023-03-19 to 2023-04-303 draws: 2023-04-30 to 2023-05-212 draws: 2023-05-21 to 2023-06-0416 draws: 2023-06-04 to 2023-09-2419 draws: 2023-09-24 to 2024-02-0415 draws: 2024-02-04 to 2024-05-1912 draws: 2024-05-19 to 2024-08-118 draws: 2024-08-11 to 2024-10-068 draws: 2024-10-06 to 2024-12-017 draws: 2024-12-01 to 2025-01-1914 draws: 2025-01-19 to 2025-04-279 draws: 2025-04-27 to 2025-06-2916 draws: 2025-06-29 to 2025-10-1915 draws: 2025-10-19 to 2026-02-018 draws: 2026-02-01 to 2026-03-2921 draws: 2026-03-29 to 2026-08-239 draws: 2026-08-23 to 2026-10-252010-01-102010-08-222010-10-032010-10-312010-12-192011-06-122011-07-102011-11-132011-12-252012-02-122012-07-292012-09-232012-12-162013-01-272013-02-102013-02-172013-03-032013-03-102013-11-032013-11-242014-03-022014-03-092014-03-232014-04-202014-05-252014-06-082014-07-272014-09-142014-09-212014-12-142015-08-302015-09-132015-10-042015-11-082016-02-282016-04-172016-08-072016-10-022016-10-302016-12-252017-02-052017-05-212017-06-252017-07-022017-08-132017-08-272017-09-102017-10-222017-10-292017-11-192018-01-212018-03-112018-03-252018-12-022019-03-242019-04-072019-05-262019-06-162019-09-152019-12-012020-07-262020-08-162020-08-232020-08-302020-10-182021-03-282021-04-252022-01-232022-02-202022-03-202022-04-032022-06-122022-08-282022-11-202023-02-122023-03-192023-04-302023-05-212023-06-042023-09-242024-02-042024-05-192024-08-112024-10-062024-12-012025-01-192025-04-272025-06-292025-10-192026-02-012026-03-292026-08-232026-10-252010-01-032026-10-25

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 8 times2 draws: 11 times3 draws: 6 times4 draws: 7 times5 draws: 4 times6 draws: 7 times7 draws: 9 times8 draws: 6 times9 draws: 3 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 2 times12 draws: 5 times13 draws: 1 time14 draws: 2 times15 draws: 3 times16 draws: 5 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 2 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 1 time33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 1 time35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 1 time37 draws: 1 time38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 1 time40 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest51 · chance 47.3
  • 2nd smallest32 · chance 36.1
  • 3rd smallest9 · chance 8.8
  • 4th smallest1 · chance 0.8
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11273064347

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-10-2591st926414346
2026-08-23212nd29204148
2026-03-2981st913343547
2026-02-01153rd67
← number 8Every numbernumber 10 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

9
25
35
2025-10-19161st910373843
2025-06-2993rd3792753
2025-04-27143rd4693348
2025-01-1972nd69133036
2024-12-0181st910113851
2024-10-0681st911354647
2024-08-11122nd89273642
2024-05-19152nd79111636
2024-02-04191st926284351
2023-09-24161st911131535
2023-06-0422nd69111942
2023-05-2132nd49303251
2023-04-3062nd89193538
2023-03-1951st932374154
2023-02-12122nd39152023
2022-11-20121st912164549
2022-08-28111st915284246
2022-06-12102nd69112830
2022-04-0322nd69345054
2022-03-2041st910163049
The other 69 appearances
2022-02-2042nd29112243
2022-01-23391st922252735
2021-04-2543rd4893348
2021-03-28234th257916
2020-10-1872nd59323839
2020-08-3012nd59353746
2020-08-2311st913222951
2020-08-1631st920283052
2020-07-26241st930343637
2019-12-01111st921304153
2019-09-15131st924293354
2019-06-1631st924274345
2019-05-2671st930324950
2019-04-0722nd59192127
2019-03-24163rd1891642
2018-12-02361st920293451
2018-03-2523rd3892037
2018-03-1172nd49313748
2018-01-2192nd49112946
2017-11-1931st911123653
2017-10-2911st911215154
2017-10-2262nd69202743
2017-09-1022nd79123347
2017-08-2721st921314546
2017-08-1361st919333740
2017-07-0211st927313234
2017-06-2553rd1291238
2017-05-21151st933344247
2017-02-0562nd79101337
2016-12-2581st918194553
2016-10-3043rd4595354
2016-10-0281st912343540
2016-08-07162nd89122533
2016-04-1771st910153647
2016-02-28161st917253638
2015-11-0852nd69434751
2015-10-0431st918253942
2015-09-1321st922255354
2015-08-30372nd49112736
2014-12-14122nd59313548
2014-09-2111st918263031
2014-09-1471st910132436
2014-07-2772nd69182747
2014-06-0821st945474954
2014-05-2551st926404751
2014-04-2042nd19172953
2014-03-2321st920303744
2014-03-0911st917324148
2014-03-02141st915243839
2013-11-2431st917213741
2013-11-03342nd29172842
2013-03-1012nd39264549
2013-03-0322nd69142239
2013-02-1711st927283253
2013-02-1022nd79111548
2013-01-2761st927304346
2012-12-16121st920283150
2012-09-2381st917273447
2012-07-29241st911394345
2012-02-1271st919273053
2011-12-2562nd49304150
2011-11-13182nd49162129
2011-07-1041st916293343
2011-06-12251st940475354
2010-12-1971st910121443
2010-10-3143rd1392032
2010-10-0361st911334250
2010-08-22321st913172236
2010-01-10—2nd69122340