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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 1 January 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 27
  5. 34
  6. 9

Jackpot€7,722,114

The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 105 of 868 under them

← 2011-12-25All recent draws2012-01-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 14 15 27 34 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

108times
1415times
1515times
279times
34

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-01

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 700k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€234.1K
  • 2+037%€775.9K
  • 0+129%€595.1K
  • 5 other tiers23%€475.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

911times

Every number was expected about that many times after 104 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 27) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 October 2011 — its closest relative in 104 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 December 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.9 by chance€234,138
  • 4+133≈ 51 by chance€1,290
  • 4+0360≈ 459 by chance€138
  • 3+11,689≈ 2.4k by chance€33.61
  • 3+017,414≈ 22k by chance€10.59
  • 2+125,553≈ 38k by chance€5.55
  • 2+0258,649≈ 345k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1396,702≈ 397k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 25,553 winners, 33% fewer than the 38k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€234,138
    4+133€1,290
    4+0360€138
    3+11,689€33.61
    3+017,414€10.59
    2+125,553€5.55
    2+0258,649€3.00
    0+1396,702€1.50