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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 March 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 33
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot€14,882,394

The crowdHeld 39% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 114 of 868 under them

← 2012-02-26All recent draws2012-03-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 22 23 33 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

1213times
2212times
2314times
3313times
44

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 834k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€263.9K
  • 2+034%€811.9K
  • 0+132%€759.9K
  • 5 other tiers23%€535.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.27 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

37times

Every number was expected about that many times after 113 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (33, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 November 2011 — its closest relative in 113 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 February 2012): 23 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
4≈ 2.4 by chance
€65,980
  • 4+161≈ 65 by chance€787
  • 4+0457≈ 586 by chance€123
  • 3+12,451≈ 3.1k by chance€26.10
  • 3+019,565≈ 28k by chance€10.63
  • 2+134,144≈ 49k by chance€4.68
  • 2+0270,618≈ 441k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1506,613≈ 507k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 270,618 winners, 39% fewer than the 441k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+04€65,980
    4+161€787
    4+0457€123
    3+12,451€26.10
    3+019,565€10.63
    2+134,144€4.68
    2+0270,618€3.00
    0+1506,613€1.50