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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 29 July 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 11
  3. 39
  4. 43
  5. 45
  6. 0

Jackpot€17,099,597

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 135 of 868 under them

← 2012-07-22All recent draws2012-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 11 39 43 45 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd99th
  • low34th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

910times
1116times
3910times
4310times
45

Prize breakdown · 2012-07-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2Mto 561k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€268.4K
  • 2+036%€699.1K
  • 0+123%€442.7K
  • 5 other tiers28%€544.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

014times

Every number was expected about that many times after 134 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 September 2011 — its closest relative in 134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2012): 45 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

147

The numbers add up to 147 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
5≈ 1.4 by chance
€53,677
  • 4+118≈ 38 by chance€2,711
  • 4+0337≈ 341 by chance€169
  • 3+11,094≈ 1.8k by chance€59.47
  • 3+014,039≈ 16k by chance€15.06
  • 2+116,927≈ 29k by chance€9.61
  • 2+0233,022≈ 257k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1295,120≈ 295k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 16,927 winners, 41% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+05€53,677
    4+118€2,711
    4+0337€169
    3+11,094€59.47
    3+014,039€15.06
    2+116,927€9.61
    2+0233,022€3.00
    0+1295,120€1.50