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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 19 August 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 14
  3. 25
  4. 51
  5. 52
  6. 5

Jackpot€20,495,666

The crowdHeld 58% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 138 of 868 under them

← 2012-08-12All recent draws2012-08-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 14 25 51 52 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

311times
1417times
258times
5114times
52

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 843k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€349.3K
  • 2+026%€634.6K
  • 0+136%€876.8K
  • 4 other tiers23%€546.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

515times

Every number was expected about that many times after 137 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 August 2011 — its closest relative in 137 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 August 2012): 52 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 51–52. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 2.8 by chance
no winners
  • 4+114≈ 75 by chance€24,951
  • 4+0244≈ 676 by chance€257
  • 3+11,989≈ 3.6k by chance€36.03
  • 3+012,784≈ 32k by chance€18.22
  • 2+131,476≈ 56k by chance€5.69
  • 2+0211,534≈ 508k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1584,565≈ 585k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 244 winners, 64% fewer than the 676 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+114€24,951
    4+0244€257
    3+11,989€36.03
    3+012,784€18.22
    2+131,476€5.69
    2+0211,534€3.00
    0+1584,565€1.50