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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 12 August 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 40
  3. 41
  4. 44
  5. 52
  6. 9

Jackpot€19,350,657

The crowdHeld 48% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 137 of 868 under them

← 2012-08-05All recent draws2012-08-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 40 41 44 52 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

810times
4011times
4115times
4410times
52

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-12

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 662k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€317.3K
  • 2+027%€587.6K
  • 0+130%€648.7K
  • 5 other tiers29%€644.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

919times

Every number was expected about that many times after 136 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (40, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 May 2012 — its closest relative in 136 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

185

The numbers add up to 185 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

52 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.0 by chance€317,298
  • 4+128≈ 56 by chance€2,060
  • 4+0189≈ 500 by chance€356
  • 3+11,247≈ 2.7k by chance€61.68
  • 3+011,288≈ 24k by chance€22.15
  • 2+120,792≈ 42k by chance€9.25
  • 2+0195,874≈ 376k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1432,496≈ 432k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 189 winners, 62% fewer than the 500 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€317,298
    4+128€2,060
    4+0189€356
    3+11,247€61.68
    3+011,288€22.15
    2+120,792€9.25
    2+0195,874€3.00
    0+1432,496€1.50